← ranked final candidates

#15 GEO — GEO GROUP INC

A2_VCP_NEAR_PIVOT | as of 2026-09-18 | automated relative priority, not a published Minervini point formula

Relative priority46.00
RS rating84.51
Fundamental strength75.00
VCP score84.13
Pivot distance1.73%
AV confirmation—%pending
Technical chart for GEO

Trend Template

price_above_sma150_and_sma200PASS
sma150_above_sma200PASS
sma200_rising_1mPASS
sma50_above_sma150_and_sma200PASS
price_above_sma50PASS
price_at_least_30pct_above_52w_lowPASS
price_within_25pct_of_52w_highPASS
rs_rating_at_least_70PASS

Trend Template metrics

close31.76
sma5031.13
sma15024.20
sma20022.29
sma200_1m_ago20.52
pct_above_52w_low153.88
pct_below_52w_high4.19
rs_rating84.51

VCP conditions

coherent_contraction_sequencePASS
enough_contractionsPASS
successive_ranges_inside_firstPASS
successive_depths_contractingPASS
final_contraction_tightPASS
base_depth_okPASS
resistance_area_tightPASS
volume_dryupFAIL
atr_contractingFAIL
price_tightPASS
near_pivotPASS

VCP metrics

num_contractions2.00
contraction_depths_pct[9.38, 5.75]
depth_ratios_vs_prior[0.613]
target_depth_ratio_roughly_half0.50
max_allowed_depth_ratio0.80
base_high33.15
base_low30.04
base_depth_pct9.38
base_duration_weeks3.60
resistance_spread_pct2.50
volume_dryup_ratio_10d_vs_50d1.03
atr_pct_recent3.52
atr_pct_prior3.77
atr_contraction_ratio0.93
tight_10d_range_pct7.36
raw_contraction_count13.00
raw_depths_pct[8.63, 7.51, 4.97, 5.0, 3.84, 6.42, 4.6, 11.66, 6.3, 9.78, 8.0, 9.38, 5.75]
final_trough_age_bars3.00
selection_reasoncoherent_current_sequence
pivot_price32.32
distance_to_pivot_pct1.73
vcp_score_pct84.13
is_vcp_candidatePASS
breakout_on_volumeFAIL

Price / volume

return_1m_pct3.52
return_3m_pct8.47
return_6m_pct93.90
return_12m_pct46.97
weighted_12m_momentum14.24
range_10d_pct7.36
range_20d_pct10.35
avg_volume_50d1.90M
dollar_volume_50d60.31M
up_down_volume_ratio_50d0.94
accumulation_days_20d2.00
distribution_days_20d4.00

Fundamental overlay criteria

eps_growth_minimumPASS
sales_growth_positive_or_betterPASS
core_data_coveragePASS
eps_acceleratingFAIL
sales_acceleratingFAIL
gross_margin_improving—
operating_margin_improvingPASS

Minervini-oriented SEC fundamentals

eps_growth_yoy_pct71.43
eps_previous_q_yoy_growth_pct107.14
eps_acceleration_pts-35.71
eps_annual_growth_pct727.27
eps_cagr_3y_pct15.87
sales_growth_yoy_pct15.07
sales_previous_q_yoy_growth_pct16.63
sales_acceleration_pts-1.56
sales_annual_growth_pct8.58
sales_cagr_3y_pct3.45
gross_margin_pct—
operating_margin_pct13.89
pretax_margin_pct8.97
net_margin_pct6.49
gross_margin_yoy_change_pts—
operating_margin_yoy_change_pts2.58
roe_latest_fy_pct17.91
current_ratio1.65
debt_to_equity_pct99.68
cash_to_debt0.04
shares_outstanding—
adjusted_eps_growth_yoy_pct—
earnings_surprise_pct—
eps_estimate_revision_30d_pct—
analyst_count—
institutional_ownership_pct—
institutional_qoq_change_pct—
management_guidance_revision_pct—

SEC data quality

core_coverage_pct90.00
missing_core_metrics["shares_outstanding"]
selected_sec_tags{"accounts_payable": "us-gaap:AccountsPayableCurrent", "accounts_receivable": "us-gaap:AccountsReceivableNetCurrent", "capex": "us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "cash": "us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue", "cost_of_revenue": null, "current_assets": "us-gaap:AssetsCurrent", "current_liabilities": "us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent", "dividends_paid": "us-gaap:PaymentsOfDividendsCommonStock", "eps_basic": "us-gaap:EarningsPerShareBasic", "eps_diluted": "us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted", "equity": "us-gaap:StockholdersEquity", "gross_profit": null, "inventory": "us-gaap:InventoryNet", "long_term_debt": "us-gaap:LongTermDebtNoncurrent", "long_term_debt_current": "us-gaap:LongTermDebtCurrent", "net_income": "us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss", "operating_cash_flow": "us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities", "operating_income": "us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss", "pretax_income": "us-gaap:IncomeLossFromContinuingOperationsBeforeIncomeTaxesMinorityInterestAndIncomeLossFromEquityMethodInvestments", "r_and_d": null, "revenue": "us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax", "sga": "us-gaap:GeneralAndAdministrativeExpense", "share_repurchases": "us-gaap:PaymentsForRepurchaseOfCommonStock", "shares_outstanding": "dei:EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding", "short_term_debt": null, "short_term_investments": null, "stock_based_comp": "us-gaap:ShareBasedCompensation", "total_assets": "us-gaap:Assets", "total_liabilities": null, "weighted_avg_diluted_shares": "us-gaap:WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding"}
unavailable_canonical_concepts["cost_of_revenue", "gross_profit", "r_and_d", "short_term_debt", "short_term_investments", "total_liabilities"]
warnings["Standalone Q4 income/EPS can be absent because 10-K statements are annual.", "Company-specific extension tags are not returned by CompanyFacts.", "Non-GAAP EPS, guidance, 13F ownership, Form 4 activity, and analyst estimates are separate modules."]

Reporting periods

latest_quarter_end2026-06-30
latest_quarter_filed2026-08-06
latest_fiscal_year_end2025-12-31
latest_balance_sheet_end2026-06-30

Company metadata

symbolGEO
cik923,796
company_nameGEO GROUP INC
exchange—
sic1,520
sic_descriptionGeneral Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs
fiscal_year_end1,231
as_of2026-09-20
sourceSEC EDGAR CompanyFacts + Submissions

Alpha Vantage enrichment

endpoints_returned[]

Alpha Vantage confirmation screen

latest_earnings_surprise_positive—
average_4q_earnings_surprise_positive—
positive_surprise_quarters—
analyst_coverage_present—
eps_revision_breadth_nonnegative_30d—
institutional_sponsorship_present—

Alpha Vantage screen summary

statusinsufficient_data
confirmation_score_pct—
available_criteria0.00
noteInformational post-Exp0 confirmation only; not part of validated Exp0 selection/ranking.

Alpha Vantage endpoint status

EARNINGSpending
EARNINGS_ESTIMATESpending
INSTITUTIONAL_HOLDINGSpending

Accepted VCP contractions

peak_datepeak_pricetrough_datetrough_pricedepth_pctdepth_ratio_vs_priorbars
2026-08-2433.152026-09-0230.049.38—7.00
2026-09-0932.322026-09-1530.465.750.614.00

Recent SEC filings

formfiling_dateaccession_numberprimary_document
10-Q2026-08-060001193125-26-337932geo-20260630.htm
8-K2026-08-060001193125-26-336562d118675d8k.htm
10-Q2026-05-070001193125-26-211821geo-20260331.htm
8-K2026-05-060001193125-26-207484d122560d8k.htm
8-K2026-05-040001193125-26-204018d104487d8k.htm
8-K2026-03-050001193125-26-094068d84742d8k.htm
10-K2026-02-250001193125-26-071747geo-20251231.htm
8-K2026-02-120001193125-26-048953d91287d8k.htm
8-K2026-02-120001193125-26-047556d88889d8k.htm
8-K2026-01-260001193125-26-022602d85667d8k.htm
8-K2025-12-080001193125-25-311262d49472d8k.htm
8-K2025-11-180001193125-25-285288d17936d8k.htm

SEPA factors not covered by SEC + Yahoo

These remain manual or require another provider/module and are deliberately not guessed: